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Osasuna vs Elche Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips | 25/09/2025

As the Spanish La Liga 2025/2026 season continues to unfold, football fans turn their attention to Estadio El Sadar in Pamplona, where Osasuna will host Elche on September 25, 2025, at 17:30 UTC. This midweek clash promises to be a fascinating encounter, pitting Osasuna’s formidable home record against an Elche side that has shown impressive resilience on their travels. With both teams looking to solidify their positions in the league, what intriguing narratives will emerge from this pivotal fixture? Will Osasuna’s home fortress prove too strong, or can Elche spring a surprise and snatch vital points on the road?

Head-to-Head History

The historical matchups between Osasuna and Elche suggest a competitive rivalry, often characterized by closely contested games. Since 2013, these two Spanish sides have faced each other 12 times in La Liga.

  • Total Matches Played: 12
  • Osasuna Wins: 4 (33.33%)
  • Elche Wins: 1 (8.33%)
  • Draws: 7 (58.33%)

Osasuna holds a clear advantage in recent encounters, having gone unbeaten in their past seven meetings with Elche. Their last match at Estadio El Sadar saw Osasuna claim a 2-1 home victory. Over these 12 matches, the average number of goals scored per game has been 2.17, indicating that while draws are frequent, goals are usually on the menu.

Recent Results (Last 6 Meetings):

  • 08 April 2023: Osasuna 2 – 1 Elche (La Liga)
  • 22 January 2023: Elche 1 – 1 Osasuna (La Liga)
  • 01 May 2022: Elche 1 – 1 Osasuna (La Liga)
  • 29 November 2021: Osasuna 1 – 1 Elche (La Liga)
  • 18 April 2021: Osasuna 2 – 0 Elche (La Liga)
  • 22 December 2020: Elche 2 – 2 Osasuna (La Liga)

Notably, Osasuna has secured two victories in their last three home games against Elche, underscoring their strength at Estadio El Sadar.

Current Form & Team News

Osasuna

Osasuna enters this match with a mixed bag of recent results but a particularly strong home record. In their last five matches, Osasuna has recorded two wins and three losses. They recently suffered a 2-1 away defeat to Villarreal, conceding late goals. However, their home form remains a significant motivator for the Pamplona side. Osasuna has managed an impressive six consecutive victories at Estadio El Sadar and boasts seven wins, two draws, and just one defeat in their last ten home matches, averaging 1.70 goals scored per game and conceding 0.80.

Team News:

Osasuna will be without Valentin Rosier, who was sent off in their last league outing against Villarreal and will serve a one-match ban. Key attacking threats for Osasuna include Ante Budimir, who has scored two goals in the 2025/26 season, and Jon Moncayola, who has taken on the role of the team’s main playmaker with one assist.

Elche

Elche arrives at El Sadar aiming to extend their recent good form. They have shown significant upward momentum, having not lost on their travels in their past three away matches. In their last five matches, Elche has registered two wins, two draws, and one loss. Eder Sarabia’s team has accumulated four wins, four draws, and two defeats in their last ten away games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Team News:

No new injuries or suspensions have been specifically highlighted for Elche leading into this fixture. Players such as André Silva, Adam Boayar, Rodrigo Mendoza, Grady Diangana, and Aleix Febas will be crucial for Elche’s attacking endeavors.

Tactical Preview

This match is poised to be a tactical battle, with Osasuna likely leveraging their home advantage and strong defensive foundation, particularly at Estadio El Sadar. Under Alessio Lisci, Osasuna often adopts a structured approach, aiming to control the midfield and exploit opportunities through their attacking players like Ante Budimir. Their home defensive record, conceding an average of only 0.80 goals per game in their last ten at home, speaks volumes about their solidity.

Elche, under Eder Sarabia, will likely look to maintain their recent away resilience. Their ability to score on the road, averaging 1.40 goals per match in their last ten away games, suggests they will not be afraid to push forward. The midfield battle will be crucial, with both teams vying for control to supply their respective forwards. Given the historical trend of “under 2.5 goals” in many of their previous encounters (seven out of twelve) and a strong lean towards this outcome in betting markets, a tight affair is anticipated, where defensive discipline could be paramount.

The match will be played at Estadio El Sadar in Pamplona, Spain. As it’s a standard La Liga fixture, significant weather or pitch conditions are not expected to play an unusual role. However, the travel factor for Elche, while not extreme, could subtly influence their performance.

Editorial Prediction

Considering Osasuna’s exceptional home form and their historically strong head-to-head record against Elche, they enter this match as favorites. Their six consecutive home wins and unbeaten streak of seven games against Elche are compelling statistics. While Elche’s recent away performances have been commendable, Estadio El Sadar presents a tough challenge.

Predicted Scoreline: Osasuna 2 – 1 Elche

This prediction leans on Osasuna’s consistent ability to secure victories at home, coupled with their previous 2-1 win against Elche at the same venue. Elche’s capacity to score away from home suggests they will likely find the back of the net, making a clean sheet for Osasuna less probable. Betting odds reflect Osasuna as the likely winner, with odds ranging from -105 to -109 for an Osasuna victory.

Expect Osasuna’s Ante Budimir to be a strong candidate for a goal, given his scoring form this season. While the overall trend for these matchups often favors under 2.5 goals, Osasuna’s home attacking prowess could push the score slightly higher in a competitive fixture.

OUR CHOICE

Osasuna vs Elche Over 1.5 at 1.50

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