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Villarreal vs Juventus Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips | 01/10/2025

The Estadio de la Cerámica is poised for a captivating UEFA Champions League encounter tonight, October 1, 2025, as Spanish side Villarreal hosts Italian giants Juventus. Both teams are desperately seeking their first victory in this season’s tournament, setting the stage for a high-stakes Group Stage clash. Villarreal endured a disappointing start to their European campaign with a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Tottenham Hotspur, marred by an unfortunate own goal from their goalkeeper. Juventus, on the other hand, displayed remarkable resilience in their opener, coming from 4-2 down to salvage a thrilling 4-4 draw against Borussia Dortmund.

The ‘Yellow Submarine’ will be eager to leverage their formidable home advantage and bounce back from their initial setback. Juventus, under coach Igor Tudor, will aim to build on their attacking quality and fighting spirit, despite a recent run of draws, and address their concerning away form in the Champions League. With crucial early points on the line that could significantly impact their group standing and momentum, this fixture promises an intriguing battle between two European stalwarts.

Head-to-Head History

Encounters between Villarreal and Juventus have been sparse but memorable, with the Spanish side holding a surprisingly dominant record in official competitions.

  • Total Matches Played: 3
  • Villarreal Wins: 2
  • Juventus Wins: 0
  • Draws: 1

Recent Results:

The most recent and significant meetings between these two clubs came in the 2022 UEFA Champions League Round of 16:

  • 16 March 2022: Juventus 0-3 Villarreal (UEFA Champions League)
  • 22 February 2022: Villarreal 1-1 Juventus (UEFA Champions League)

Villarreal famously eliminated Juventus from the Champions League in 2022, culminating in a resounding 3-0 victory at the Allianz Stadium in Turin. This notable outcome saw the Yellow Submarine progress with an aggregate score of 4-1, highlighting their ability to perform on the big stage against Italian opposition. The only other recorded fixture was an international friendly draw in 2009.

Current Form & Team News

Villarreal

Villarreal enter this match in strong domestic form but with mixed results in Europe. Their last five matches across all competitions show a form of: LWWWW. After their opening Champions League defeat to Tottenham (1-0), Marcelino’s side has enjoyed a resurgence in La Liga, securing three consecutive victories. They currently sit third in La Liga with 16 points from seven matches, trailing only Barcelona and Real Madrid. Their recent league wins include a 2-1 away triumph at Sevilla and a narrow 1-0 home victory over Athletic Bilbao, secured by Alberto Moleiro’s 77th-minute strike. Domestically, they boast an impressive record of seven consecutive home wins stretching back to last season.

Team News:

Villarreal faces several key absences. Defender Juan Foyth remains sidelined with a muscle injury and is not expected back until late October. Striker Gerard Moreno continues his recovery from a hamstring problem and is doubtful for the match. Willy Kambwala is also injured, and Pau Navarro is away on international duty with Spain’s U20 World Cup squad. Ayoze Perez (adductor) also remains a doubt.

Standout Players:

Keep an eye on attacking midfielder Alex Baena, known for his unpredictability and skill between the lines. Physical striker Alexander Sorloth is a crucial focal point in attack, particularly in aerial duels. The midfield maestro Dani Parejo dictates the tempo and distribution of play. Canadian winger Tajon Buchanan is Villarreal’s leading scorer with three league goals, and Alberto Moleiro has proven to be a match-winner.

Juventus

Igor Tudor’s Juventus remain unbeaten in all competitions this season, demonstrating significant resilience. However, they have struggled to convert draws into victories recently. Their last five matches show a form of: WWDDD. After a thrilling 4-3 Serie A win over Inter Milan, they drew their Champions League opener 4-4 against Borussia Dortmund, recovering from a two-goal deficit with two stoppage-time goals. This was followed by consecutive 1-1 draws in Serie A against Hellas Verona and Atalanta. Despite the draws, Juventus have shown strong attacking quality and a never-say-die attitude. Their away form in the Champions League, however, is a concern, with only one win in their last five away games in the competition.

Team News:

Juventus will be without two significant players for their trip to Spain. Both Gleison Bremer and Khéphren Thuram were substituted during the recent 1-1 draw against Atalanta due to injury concerns and have not traveled with the squad. Thuram’s calf strain is particularly worrisome. Arkadiusz Milik is sidelined with a shin injury, and Fabio Miretti continues to miss out due to a hamstring/thigh problem. On a positive note, Francisco Conceição has recovered from a minor injury and is included in the traveling squad, as is Edon Zhegrova.

Standout Players:

Dušan Vlahović remains a potent threat, having scored two crucial stoppage-time goals against Dortmund and four goals overall this season. Lloyd Kelly also proved an unlikely hero with his late equalizer in that same match. Young talent Kenan Yildiz has emerged as one of the brightest talents in world football, and the returning Francisco Conceição could provide a much-needed attacking spark.

Tactical Preview

This match is set to be a clash of styles, with Villarreal’s disciplined approach clashing with Juventus’s aggressive yet sometimes inconsistent attacking prowess.

Villarreal:

Under Marcelino, Villarreal are known for being a well-organised team with a balanced mentality. They are expected to line up in a formation that allows them to alternate between controlled possession and rapid transitions. Their defensive shape will likely be compact, focusing on selective pressing rather than a constant high press. Expect them to utilize their wings for attacks and pose a threat from set pieces, though they can be vulnerable to aerial play defensively. A likely starting XI could feature Junior in goal; Mourino, Marin, Veiga, Cardona in defense; Buchanan, Gueye, Comesana, Solomon in midfield; and Pepe, Mikautadze leading the attack. Dani Parejo’s ability to control the midfield will be crucial in disrupting Juventus’s rhythm.

Juventus:

Igor Tudor’s Juventus have shown a preference for a system that allows for attacking dynamism, often making up for defensive shortcomings with their ability to fight back. With Bremer and Thuram absent, Juventus’s defense will need to adapt, with Federico Gatti likely stepping in for Bremer. Their midfield battle, particularly against the likes of Parejo, will be key to establishing control. Despite their recent draws, their attacking quality, particularly through Vlahović and Yildiz, is undeniable. A possible formation could see Di Gregorio in goal; Kalulu, Gatti, Kelly in defense; with Mario, Locatelli, Cambiaso, and potentially Conceicao (who has recovered) in midfield, supporting Yildiz and Jonathan David (or Vlahović) up front.

The match at Estadio de la Cerámica will test Juventus’s ability to perform away from home, especially given their Champions League away struggles. Villarreal’s strong home record and fervent support will be a significant factor. The pitch conditions are expected to be excellent, typical of a top-tier European match, and neither team should suffer undue travel fatigue.

Editorial Prediction

This Champions League fixture promises to be a tightly contested affair. Villarreal’s impressive home form, coupled with Juventus’s recent struggles to close out games and significant defensive injuries, gives the Spanish side a slight edge. However, Juventus’s attacking talent and their demonstrated ability to score and fight back from difficult positions cannot be underestimated.

Given Villarreal’s defensive vulnerabilities in the air and Juventus’s potent attack, and conversely, Juventus’s defensive absences and Villarreal’s home scoring prowess, we anticipate both teams finding the back of the net. The betting odds reflect Villarreal as slight favorites at +123 (45% win probability), with Juventus at +225. A draw is priced at +123.

We predict a hard-fought match that could see both teams share the spoils or Villarreal just edge it at home.

Predicted Scoreline: Villarreal 2-1 Juventus

Justification: Villarreal’s strong domestic home form (7 consecutive wins) and the motivation to secure their first Champions League points will fuel them. Juventus’s defensive injuries to Bremer and Thuram will be keenly felt, potentially opening up opportunities for Villarreal’s attack. However, Juventus’s ability to score, even in challenging circumstances, means they are unlikely to be shut out.

Goal Scorers/Events: Expect goals from Dušan Vlahović for Juventus. For Villarreal, one of their in-form attackers like Alex Baena or Tajon Buchanan could find the net. We also expect both teams to score in this game.

OUR CHOICE

Villarreal vs Juventus Over 1.5 at 1.30

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