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Atalanta vs Como Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips | 04/10/2025

The Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo is set to host an intriguing Serie A clash on October 4, 2025, as Atalanta welcome newly-promoted Como. This encounter carries a compelling narrative: the established European hopefuls of Atalanta pitted against a Como side looking to solidify their place in Italy’s top flight after a significant return. For Atalanta, it’s an opportunity to maintain their push for continental qualification, while Como will be eager to prove their promotion was no fluke, eyeing crucial points against a formidable opponent. Can Como’s youthful exuberance and tactical discipline upset the established order, or will Atalanta’s seasoned squad and home advantage prove too much to handle? The stakes are high, and only time will tell who emerges victorious in this Lombardy derby.

Head-to-Head

Encounters between Atalanta and Como have been relatively rare in recent history, primarily due to their differing league statuses. According to some historical records, the two clubs have met a total of six times in official competitions.

  • Total Matches Played: 6
  • Atalanta Wins: 3
  • Como Wins: 1
  • Draws: 2

The recent history provides a mixed bag of results, with some notable outcomes:

  • January 25, 2025: Como 1-2 Atalanta (Serie A)
  • September 24, 2024: Atalanta 2-3 Como (Serie A) – A significant upset where Como secured a vital away victory.
  • July 23, 2022: Atalanta 4-0 Como (Club Friendly)
  • April 10, 2004: Como 0-3 Atalanta (Serie B)
  • November 16, 2003: Atalanta 2-1 Como (Serie B)

The September 2024 Serie A fixture, which saw Como triumph 3-2 at the Gewiss Stadium, stands out as a high-scoring thriller and a testament to Como’s ability to challenge stronger opposition. Their head-to-head record also suggests a tendency for goals, with 100% of the previous three meetings seeing over 2.5 goals scored.

Current Form & Team News

(Note: The following ‘Current Form’ is based on projected fixtures and results up to October 3, 2025, as provided in the search results, reflecting a simulated future scenario rather than actual past events as of the current date.)

Atalanta

Atalanta comes into this fixture with a strong recent run, demonstrating their consistent quality across domestic and European competitions. Their last five projected matches show impressive form:

  • September 30, 2025: Atalanta 2-1 Club Brugge (UEFA Champions League) – Win
  • September 27, 2025: Juventus 1-1 Atalanta (Serie A) – Draw
  • September 21, 2025: Torino 0-3 Atalanta (Serie A) – Win
  • September 17, 2025: PSG 4-0 Atalanta (UEFA Champions League) – Loss
  • September 14, 2025: Atalanta 4-1 Lecce (Serie A) – Win

This translates to a form of W-D-W-L-W in their last five outings. Atalanta’s attacking prowess, highlighted by wins against Lecce and Torino, and a Champions League victory, showcases their ability to score goals. However, the heavy defeat to PSG suggests potential vulnerabilities against elite attacking forces. Key players like Ademola Lookman, who famously scored a hat-trick in the Europa League final, and Gianluca Scamacca will likely be central to their attacking schemes.

Como

Como, having earned promotion to Serie A, has shown resilience and flashes of quality in their projected early-season fixtures. Their last five projected matches indicate a fighting spirit:

  • September 27, 2025: Como 1-1 Cremonese (Serie A) – Draw
  • September 24, 2025: Como 3-0 Sassuolo (Coppa Italia/Serie A) – Win
  • September 21, 2025: Fiorentina 1-2 Como (Serie A) – Win
  • September 15, 2025: Como 1-1 Genoa (Serie A) – Draw
  • August 30, 2025: Bologna 1-0 Como (Serie A) – Loss

Como’s projected form stands at D-W-W-D-L, indicating they are finding their footing in the top tier. Victories over Sassuolo and Fiorentina, along with draws against Cremonese and Genoa, suggest they are not to be underestimated. As a newly promoted side, they often rely on collective effort and tactical discipline under coach Cesc Fàbregas. Players like Douvikas, Nicolas Paz, and Rodríguez Caraballo have been noted for their goal contributions.

Specific injury or suspension news for the future date cannot be accurately predicted. Both teams will likely aim to field their strongest available squads, with Atalanta potentially rotating if they have European commitments close to this fixture.

Tactical Preview

Atalanta, under their often high-octane management (Ivan Jurić is listed as head coach for the 2025/26 season), typically employs an aggressive, fluid system, often a 3-4-2-1 or 3-4-1-2 formation. Their style is characterized by relentless pressing, wing-back penetration, and intricate attacking movements through the half-spaces. They thrive on disrupting opponents’ build-up and quickly transitioning into attack, often overwhelming teams with numerical superiority in advanced areas.

Como, coached by Cesc Fàbregas, as a recently promoted side, is likely to adopt a more pragmatic approach, potentially a 4-4-2 or 4-3-3, focusing on defensive solidity and exploiting counter-attacking opportunities. Their midfield battle will be crucial, aiming to contain Atalanta’s creative players and disrupt their rhythm. The flanks could be a key area, with Como attempting to nullify Atalanta’s potent wing-backs while seeking to launch quick breaks down the sides.

Atalanta’s attacking threats will come from their dynamic forwards and attacking midfielders, with their ability to interchange positions and link up posing a constant danger. Como’s defensive weaknesses, if any, might be exposed by Atalanta’s relentless pressure and movement, particularly if they are caught out of position during transitions.

The match will be played at the Gewiss Stadium, providing Atalanta with a significant home advantage. Factors like weather and travel fatigue cannot be predicted for a future date, but Atalanta will undoubtedly benefit from playing on their home turf in front of their supporters.

Editorial Prediction

This match promises to be an engaging contest between an established Serie A force and an ambitious newcomer. While Como has shown they can cause an upset, particularly with their 3-2 victory over Atalanta earlier in the projected 2024/25 season, Atalanta’s overall quality, home advantage, and strong recent (projected) form make them favorites.

Atalanta’s attacking firepower, combined with their aggressive style of play, is often too much for many Serie A teams, especially at home. While Como’s defensive organization and counter-attacking threat will keep the game competitive, Atalanta should ultimately prevail.

Given the historical tendency for goals in this fixture (100% over 2.5 goals in the last 3 meetings) and both teams’ projected recent form, we anticipate a match with multiple goals.

Predicted Scoreline: Atalanta 3 – 1 Como

Betting odds would likely heavily favor Atalanta for a win, with a strong emphasis on over 2.5 goals. We can expect Atalanta’s key forwards, such as Ademola Lookman or Gianluca Scamacca, to be among the goal scorers. Additionally, given the attacking nature of both teams, there’s a good chance for at least one goal in each half.

OUR CHOICE

Atalanta vs Como Over 1.5 at 1.28

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