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IFK Varnamo vs Mjallby Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips | 03/11/2025

Allsvenskan Showdown: Relegated Varnamo Host Champions Mjallby in a Clash of Fortunes

As the Swedish Allsvenskan season draws to a close, a compelling narrative unfolds at Finnvedsvallen on Monday, November 3, 2025, at 18:00 UTC. This fixture pits the newly crowned champions, Mjallby AIF, against a struggling IFK Varnamo side that has already faced the bitter pill of relegation. It’s a classic encounter of contrasting fortunes: will the champions continue their dominant run, or can the hosts salvage some pride in front of their home crowd against superior opposition?

For IFK Varnamo, this match is about honour and perhaps building a foundation for their return to the top flight. Positioned at the very bottom of the league, their season has been a challenging one. Mjallby, on the other hand, arrives having already secured the Allsvenskan title and having broken the all-time points record in the Swedish league, a testament to their exceptional campaign. What motivations will drive each team in this late-season fixture, and can Varnamo produce an upset against the league’s best?

Head-to-Head

The history between IFK Varnamo and Mjallby AIF spans 17 games since 2008. In these encounters, IFK Varnamo has recorded 7 victories, Mjallby AIF has won 6, and 4 matches have ended in a draw. Looking at more recent history, Mjallby has been the dominant side, going unbeaten in their past three meetings with Varnamo.

Recent Results (Last 5 Meetings):

  • June 1, 2025: Mjallby 2 – 0 IFK Varnamo
  • September 25, 2024: Mjallby 1 – 1 IFK Varnamo
  • June 2, 2024: IFK Varnamo 1 – 2 Mjallby
  • October 1, 2023: Mjallby 2 – 3 IFK Varnamo
  • April 10, 2023: IFK Varnamo 0 – 1 Mjallby

Notably, while Mjallby has a recent upper hand, Varnamo managed a high-scoring 3-2 victory in October 2023, showcasing their ability to find the net against their rivals.

Current Form & Team News

IFK Varnamo

IFK Varnamo’s form paints a grim picture, reflecting their position at the bottom of the Allsvenskan table (16th out of 16 teams) and their confirmed relegation. Their last five matches have seen them register one win, one draw, and three losses:

  • October 25, 2025: Djurgarden 6 – 2 IFK Varnamo (L)
  • October 19, 2025: IFK Varnamo 1 – 1 Brommapojkarna (D)
  • October 5, 2025: AIK 2 – 3 IFK Varnamo (W)
  • September 28, 2025: Malmo FF 3 – 2 IFK Varnamo (L)
  • September 22, 2025: IFK Varnamo 1 – 2 Halmstads BK (L)

Defensively, Varnamo has struggled significantly, conceding an average of 2.18 goals per match this season. In terms of team news, Ishaq Abdulrazak is reported to be out with a knee injury, expected to return in January 2026. While one source suggests no current injuries or suspensions, the long-term absence of Abdulrazak is notable. An illness outbreak in July 2025 affected eight players, though it is likely resolved by now.

Mjallby AIF

Mjallby AIF enters this match in scintillating form, sitting comfortably at the top of the Allsvenskan table as champions. Their recent performances underscore their dominance:

  • October 26, 2025: Mjallby 2 – 1 IFK Norrkoping (W)
  • October 20, 2025: IFK Goteborg 0 – 2 Mjallby (W)
  • October 4, 2025: Mjallby 2 – 0 Elfsborg (W)
  • September 28, 2025: Brommapojkarna 0 – 1 Mjallby (W)
  • September 20, 2025: Mjallby 1 – 1 Osters IF (D)

Mjallby has a formidable defensive record and has not lost their last 14 consecutive matches in the competition. They have also claimed seven straight Allsvenskan road wins. Key players include experienced striker Jacob Bergström. For team news, T. Miettinen is listed with an unknown injury with an early November return, Oliver Ludvig has a back injury, and J. Gustavsson is out with an illness. Bork C. Bang-Kittilsen is on international duty.

Tactical Preview

This match presents a clash of styles and objectives. Mjallby, under Anders Torstensson, is expected to deploy a structured and efficient system, possibly a 3-4-3 formation, leveraging their strong defensive organization and potent attack. Their ability to secure clean sheets and score consistently, particularly away from home, will be central to their strategy. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Mjallby likely dominating possession and tempo against a Varnamo side that averages 49.5% possession in their games.

IFK Varnamo is predicted to line up in a 4-3-3 formation. Their defensive vulnerabilities will be a major concern, especially against Mjallby’s free-scoring attack. They will need to shore up their backline and be clinical on the counter-attack if they are to trouble the champions. The home advantage at Finnvedsvallen might provide a slight boost, but the significant disparity in form and quality is undeniable. Given the late season in Sweden, pitch conditions could be a factor, potentially favouring a more physical approach, although no specific weather or pitch details are available for this simulated date. Travel fatigue is unlikely to be a major issue for Mjallby as both teams are within Sweden.

Editorial Prediction

Considering Mjallby’s sensational form, their league-winning campaign, and Varnamo’s struggles at the foot of the table, an away victory seems highly probable. Mjallby’s strong defensive record, coupled with Varnamo’s propensity to concede goals (averaging 2.18 conceded per match), points towards a comfortable win for the visitors.

We predict a decisive victory for the champions.

Expected Scoreline: IFK Varnamo 0 – 3 Mjallby AIF

Justification for this prediction lies in Mjallby’s superior form, their excellent away record of seven consecutive wins, and the clear quality difference between a team at the top of the league and one facing relegation. Betting odds also heavily favour Mjallby, with a win for the visitors generally priced around -189. Furthermore, given Varnamo’s defensive issues, opting for ‘Over 2.5 goals’ in the match holds good value, with odds around -175. We anticipate Mjallby’s experienced striker, Jacob Bergström, to be among the goal scorers. We also expect Mjallby to keep a clean sheet, a feat they have managed in 36% of their matches.

OUR CHOICE

Mjallby 1up at 1.30

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