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Degerfors vs Hammarby Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips | 03/11/2025

The Swedish Allsvenskan season is drawing to a close, and a crucial encounter looms large at Stora Valla as relegation-threatened Degerfors host high-flying Hammarby. This Monday, November 3, 2025, at 18:00 UTC, the stage is set for a clash with contrasting ambitions: Degerfors fighting tooth and nail for survival, while Hammarby, having already secured their European aspirations, aim to solidify their impressive second-place finish. Will the hosts harness the spirit of Stora Valla to pull off an upset, or will Hammarby’s superior form and historical dominance prevail as the season finale approaches?

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, matches between Degerfors and Hammarby have largely favored the visitors. In their previous 9 Allsvenskan meetings, Hammarby boasts an overwhelming record of 8 wins, with just 1 draw, and Degerfors yet to secure a victory against them in this context.

  • Total matches played (Allsvenskan): 9
  • Degerfors wins: 0
  • Draws: 1
  • Hammarby wins: 8
  • Goals scored: Degerfors 7, Hammarby 28

Recent Results (Last 5 Meetings):

  • 2025-05-26: Hammarby 1-0 Degerfors
  • 2023-05-25: Degerfors 2-2 Hammarby
  • 2023-04-02: Hammarby 3-1 Degerfors
  • 2022-08-22: Hammarby 5-1 Degerfors
  • 2022-04-21: Degerfors 0-1 Hammarby

Hammarby has not suffered a defeat in their last seven encounters with Degerfors, securing six victories and one draw during that period. Notable outcomes include Hammarby’s commanding 5-1 victory in August 2022, showcasing their offensive prowess against the Red and White.

Current Form & Team News

Degerfors IF

Degerfors currently sits in the 14th position in the Allsvenskan table, placing them in the relegation playoff spot, highlighting the immense pressure they face in their final league matches. Their overall form this season has been described as ‘Very Poor,’ winning only 25% of their matches. At home, their record is particularly concerning, with only 1 win, 4 draws, and 9 losses, and they have failed to win any of their last ten matches at Stora Valla. In their last 10 league games, they recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses.

Last 5 Matches:

  • 2025-10-25: Östers IF 1-2 Degerfors (W)
  • 2025-10-20: Degerfors 0-1 Halmstad (L)
  • 2025-10-04: Degerfors 1-1 Djurgården (D)
  • 2025-09-27: Elfsborg 1-2 Degerfors (W)
  • 2025-09-21: Sirius 1-3 Degerfors (W)

Despite recent struggles, Degerfors secured a crucial 2-1 away victory against Östers IF in their last outing, which could provide a much-needed morale boost. For this crucial match, no new injuries or suspensions have been officially reported for Degerfors. Key players to watch include top scorers Marcus Rafferty and Omar Faraj, both with 6 goals, and Dijan Vukojevic, who has netted 4. Santeri Haarala and Richie Omorowa have been their primary assist providers with two each.

Hammarby IF

Hammarby approaches this game in excellent form, currently sitting in second place in the Allsvenskan, and have already secured their objective for the season, likely a spot in the UEFA Conference League. Their last 10 league games show a strong record of 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. They have been particularly formidable on the road, with five victories, three defeats, and two draws in their last 10 away matches, averaging 1.80 goals per game.

Last 5 Matches:

  • 2025-10-27: Malmö FF 1-3 Hammarby (W)
  • 2025-10-19: Hammarby 2-1 AIK (W)
  • 2025-10-05: IFK Göteborg 1-2 Hammarby (W)
  • 2025-09-28: Halmstad 1-0 Hammarby (L)
  • 2025-09-21: Hammarby 4-0 Häcken (W)

Hammarby is currently on a three-match winning streak, including an impressive 3-1 away win against league leaders Malmö FF. Similar to Degerfors, no players are reported injured or suspended for Hammarby ahead of this fixture. Their attacking prowess is spearheaded by Nahir Besara, who leads the team with 8 goals, followed by Paulos Abraham with 5, and Montader Madjed with 3. Hampus Skoglund is their top assist provider in recent games.

Tactical Preview

Both Degerfors and Hammarby are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, suggesting an open and attacking game, at least in principle. Hammarby’s tactical approach is likely to revolve around their superior ball possession (averaging 59.0%) and potent attack, which scores an average of 2.2 goals per match. They will aim to control the midfield through players like Tesfaldet Tekie and Nahir Besara, using wide players Montader Madjed and Paulos Abraham to exploit the flanks and create chances.

Degerfors, on the other hand, averages significantly lower possession (42.8%) and 1.1 goals per match. Their defensive vulnerabilities at home, where they concede an average of 1.50 goals per game in their last ten, will be a major concern against a free-scoring Hammarby side. They will likely look to absorb pressure and hit on quick counter-attacks, relying on the finishing of players like Marcus Rafferty and Dijan Vukojevic. The midfield battle, particularly in winning second balls, will be crucial for Degerfors to disrupt Hammarby’s rhythm and supply lines.

The match takes place at Stora Valla in early November, meaning weather conditions could be cold and potentially affect the pitch, making for a heavier playing surface. While this might slightly favor the underdog by leveling the playing field, Hammarby’s strong away form suggests they are adaptable. Degerfors, playing at home, will hope for the familiar surroundings to provide an edge, despite their poor home record this season.

Editorial Prediction

Given the stark contrast in form, head-to-head records, and league positions, Hammarby enters this match as clear favorites. Their impressive away form and consistent goal-scoring ability, coupled with Degerfors’ struggles, especially at home, point towards a Hammarby victory. While Degerfors’ recent away win might offer a glimmer of hope, overcoming Hammarby’s dominance will be a significant challenge.

Expected Scoreline: Degerfors 1 – 3 Hammarby

This prediction is justified by Hammarby’s superior offensive output (averaging 2.2 goals per match) and their commanding head-to-head record. Degerfors’ vulnerability at home, conceding 1.50 goals per game, suggests Hammarby will find the net multiple times. The odds also heavily favor a Hammarby win, with many bookmakers offering around +120 (decimal 2.20) for an away victory. An “Over 2.5 goals” outcome is also strongly anticipated.

We anticipate Nahir Besara to be a likely goal-scorer for Hammarby, given his impressive season tally. Paulos Abraham also poses a significant threat. For Degerfors, should they manage to break through, Dijan Vukojevic or Marcus Rafferty might grab a consolation goal. Expect an entertaining match with Hammarby asserting their quality.

OUR CHOICE

Degerfors vs Hammarby Over 1.5 at 1.22

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