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Ukraine vs Iceland Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips | 16/11/2025

The stage is set in Ukraine on November 16, 2025, for a pivotal World Cup Qualifier as the home side takes on a determined Iceland. This encounter is more than just another fixture; it’s a battle for vital points in a tightly contested group, with both nations currently sitting on seven points. The outcome could significantly shape their aspirations for a place in the prestigious 2026 FIFA World Cup. With recent history suggesting high-scoring affairs between these two, fans can anticipate a captivating and potentially dramatic contest where every goal, every tackle, and every decision could prove decisive.

Head-to-Head History: Goals Galore in Past Encounters

The rivalry between Ukraine and Iceland, while not extensive, has certainly delivered entertainment. In their previous five meetings, Ukraine holds a slight advantage.

  • Total Matches Played: 5 (Some sources indicate 4 or 6, but 5 appears to be the most consistently cited recent number for competitive matches).
  • Ukraine Wins: 3
  • Iceland Wins: 1
  • Draws: 1

Recent results highlight the attacking prowess often on display when these two nations meet. Their most recent clash, a World Cup Qualification match on October 10, 2025, saw Ukraine emerge victorious in a thrilling 5-3 encounter against Iceland. Before that, on March 26, 2024, Ukraine defeated Iceland in a Euro Qualification match. The average number of goals scored per game during their past encounters has been notably high, at 3.75, suggesting a propensity for open and attacking football.

Current Form & Team News

Ukraine

Ukraine enters this crucial fixture looking to bounce back from a recent defeat. In their last five matches (leading up to November 16, 2025), their form has been a mix of wins, draws, and losses.

  • Last 5 Matches (W-D-L format): W-L-W-D-L (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses).
  • Recent Results:
    • Lost 4-0 to France (2025-11-13).
    • Won 2-1 against Azerbaijan (2025-10-13).
    • Won 5-3 against Iceland (2025-10-10).
    • Drew 1-1 against Azerbaijan (2025-09-09).
    • Lost 0-2 to France (2025-09-05).

Ukraine’s squad boasts a blend of experienced players and emerging talents. Key players who have been impactful include Oleksiy Gutsulyak, who recently scored and assisted against Azerbaijan, and Ukraine has won all four matches in which he has found the net. Other prominent figures in the squad feature the likes of Mykola Matviyenko, Illia Zabarnyi, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Mykola Shaparenko, Viktor Tsygankov, Georgiy Sudakov, and Artem Dovbyk. As of the current information, there are no fresh major injury or suspension concerns reported for the Ukrainian squad following their recent matches.

Iceland

Iceland will be aiming for a strong performance to upset their hosts and strengthen their World Cup qualification bid. Their recent form leading up to this match has also been somewhat inconsistent.

  • Last 5 Matches (W-D-L format): W-D-L-L-W (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses).
  • Recent Results:
    • Won 2-0 against Azerbaijan (2025-11-13).
    • Drew 2-2 against France (2025-10-13).
    • Lost 3-5 to Ukraine (2025-10-10).
    • Lost 1-2 to France (2025-09-09).
    • Won 5-0 against Azerbaijan (2025-09-05).

Key players for Iceland include Orri Steinn Óskarsson, who has been a top goalscorer in the UEFA Nations League 2024/2025. Defender Sverrir Ingi Ingason also recently found the net and has a strong record in games where he scores for club and country. Other notable players in the squad are Albert Guðmundsson, Hákon Arnar Haraldsson, Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson, and Victor Pálsson. Similar to Ukraine, no new significant injury or suspension worries have been reported for Iceland ahead of this encounter.

Tactical Preview

This match is expected to be a fascinating tactical battle. Ukraine, playing at home, will likely look to assert their dominance with a possession-based approach, coupled with quick transitions and attacking flair down the flanks. Coach Serhiy Rebrov often sets up his team in a flexible formation, potentially a 4-3-3 or a 4-2-3-1, to maximize their creative midfielders and clinical forwards. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Ukraine aiming to control the tempo and supply passes to their attacking talents like Viktor Tsygankov and Artem Dovbyk. Defensively, they will need to be wary of Iceland’s directness and aerial threat.

Iceland, under their coach, typically employs a disciplined and organized 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on defensive solidity and counter-attacking opportunities. They are known for their physical presence, especially in set-piece situations, and their ability to exploit defensive errors. Their attacking play often involves long balls and quick breaks, with Orri Steinn Óskarsson and Albert Guðmundsson providing the thrust upfront. The conditions in Ukraine in November could play a role; potentially cold weather and a heavier pitch might favor a more physical style of play, which could suit Iceland, while also testing Ukraine’s technical abilities.

Editorial Prediction

Given the high stakes and the evenly matched nature of the teams in the group standings, this promises to be a hard-fought contest. Ukraine’s home advantage and their recent 5-3 victory over Iceland might give them a psychological edge. Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with eight of Ukraine’s last ten and eight of Iceland’s last ten games seeing over 2.5 goals.

Considering Ukraine’s attacking talent and the need to secure all three points at home, they are likely to push for a victory. However, Iceland’s resilience and ability to score, even away from home, should not be underestimated. We predict a closely contested match with goals from both sides.

Predicted Scoreline: Ukraine 2 – 1 Iceland

Justification for the prediction lies in Ukraine’s slight head-to-head advantage and the impetus of playing at home in a crucial qualifier. While Iceland will undoubtedly put up a strong fight and likely find the back of the net, Ukraine’s attacking quality should see them edge out a narrow win. Based on recent trends, betting on over 2.5 goals in this game would be a reasonable consideration. Expect a goal from an attacking player like Ukraine’s Artem Dovbyk or Viktor Tsygankov, and a potential equalizer or threat from an aerial situation for Iceland through players like Sverrir Ingi Ingason.

OUR CHOICE

Ukraine vs Iceland Over 1.5 at 1.40

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