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Cyprus vs Bosnia-Herzegovina Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips | 09/10/2025

Cyprus vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: A Crucial World Cup Qualifier in Larnaca

As the FIFA World Cup Qualifiers intensify, Cyprus and Bosnia-Herzegovina are set to clash on October 9, 2025, at the AEK Arena in Larnaca. This fixture, kicking off at 18:45 UTC, is more than just another group stage encounter; it represents a critical juncture for both nations in their quest for a coveted spot in the global showpiece.

For Cyprus, sitting in fourth place with just four points, this home match is a must-win to keep their faint qualification hopes alive and bridge the gap with the top contenders. Bosnia-Herzegovina, despite a mixed bag of recent results, will be keen to bounce back and solidify their position in the group. The atmospheric AEK Arena, with its natural grass pitch and capacity for 8,058 spectators, will provide a vibrant backdrop for what promises to be an engaging contest.

Will the home advantage inspire the Cypriots to an upset, or will the Dragons of Bosnia-Herzegovina demonstrate their superior individual quality? All eyes will be on Larnaca as these two European hopefuls vie for vital points.

Head-to-Head: A History of Close Encounters

The historical rivalry between Cyprus and Bosnia-Herzegovina, though limited, has been marked by tightly contested matches and a propensity for goals. In their five previous meetings since 2014, Bosnia-Herzegovina holds a slight edge with three victories, while Cyprus has claimed two wins, with no draws recorded between the two sides.

Key Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Total matches played: 5
  • Cyprus wins: 2
  • Bosnia-Herzegovina wins: 3
  • Draws: 0
  • Goals scored by Cyprus: 8
  • Goals scored by Bosnia-Herzegovina: 10

Recent Results (Last 5 Meetings):

  • 24 March 2025: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-1 Cyprus (FIFA World Cup Qualification)
  • 31 August 2017: Cyprus 3-2 Bosnia-Herzegovina (FIFA World Cup Qualification)
  • 10 October 2016: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-0 Cyprus (FIFA World Cup Qualification)
  • 13 October 2015: Cyprus 2-3 Bosnia-Herzegovina (UEFA Euro Qualification)
  • 09 September 2014: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-2 Cyprus (UEFA Euro Qualification)

Notably, four out of these five encounters have seen more than 2.5 goals scored, and both teams found the net in four of the five matches, highlighting the attacking nature of their contests. Cyprus’s 3-2 home victory in 2017 and a surprising 2-1 away win in 2014 demonstrate their capability to challenge their Bosnian counterparts.

Current Form & Team News

Cyprus

The Cypriot national team enters this fixture on a challenging run of form in their World Cup Qualifiers in 2025. In their last five competitive matches leading up to this game, their record stands at: 0 Wins, 2 Draws, 3 Losses (D-L-L-D-L).

  • 09 September 2025: Cyprus 2-2 Romania (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • 06 September 2025: Austria 1-0 Cyprus (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • 10 June 2025: Romania 2-0 Cyprus (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • 06 June 2025: Bulgaria 2-2 Cyprus (Friendly)
  • 24 March 2025: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-1 Cyprus (World Cup Qualifiers)

Despite their struggles in the qualifiers, Cyprus has shown some resilience at home, notably drawing 2-2 with Romania and securing a 2-0 victory over San Marino in previous home World Cup Qualifier matches. Striker Pieros Sotiriou remains a key figure for the Cypriots, having demonstrated his scoring prowess in past crucial matches, including a goal and an assist in a previous H2H win against Bosnia.

At the time of writing, no new significant injuries or suspensions for Cyprus have been widely reported, suggesting a relatively full squad available to coach Akis Mantzios.

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina’s recent form in the World Cup Qualifiers has been inconsistent, with their last five matches showing a record of: 3 Wins, 0 Draws, 2 Losses (L-W-L-W-W).

  • 09 September 2025: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-2 Austria (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • 06 September 2025: San Marino 0-6 Bosnia-Herzegovina (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • 10 June 2025: Slovenia 2-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina (Friendly)
  • 07 June 2025: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-0 San Marino (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • 24 March 2025: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-1 Cyprus (World Cup Qualifiers)

The Dragons will be looking to regain momentum after their recent home loss to Austria. A significant blow to their midfield creativity comes with the absence of Haris Hajradinović, who reportedly sustained an ACL tear last month. However, they still boast formidable attacking talent. Veteran striker Edin Džeko, the team’s captain and all-time top scorer, continues to be a crucial presence. Youngster Ermedin Demirović is also in form, having scored against Cyprus in their last meeting and assisted Džeko in the recent match against Austria.

Bosnia’s current FIFA ranking of 73 (as of September 18, 2025) places them considerably higher than Cyprus (128), indicating their general strength.

Tactical Preview

This match is likely to be a classic contrast of styles. Cyprus, playing at home, will aim for a disciplined and compact defensive setup, probably employing a 4-4-2 or a 5-3-2 formation. Their strategy will focus on frustrating Bosnia’s attacks and then launching quick counter-attacks, leveraging the pace of their forwards, with Pieros Sotiriou expected to be a key outlet. The Cypriots have shown they can score at home in the qualifiers.

Bosnia-Herzegovina, under coach Sergej Barbarez, is expected to adopt a more proactive approach, likely lining up in a 4-4-2 formation. They will seek to dominate possession and exploit spaces through their more technically gifted players in midfield and attack. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Bosnia needing to compensate for the absence of Haris Hajradinović. The attacking partnership of Demirović and the experienced Džeko will be their primary threat, with Džeko’s aerial prowess and finishing ability a constant danger.

The AEK Arena in Larnaca offers excellent natural grass conditions, ensuring a fluid game. While the weather in Cyprus in October is typically mild, which should not significantly impact either side, the travel factor might slightly favor the home side, though professional teams are accustomed to international travel. Given Bosnia’s previous reliance on home pitch advantage, performing away in Cyprus presents a different challenge.

Editorial Prediction

This encounter has all the makings of a hard-fought battle. While Bosnia-Herzegovina possesses greater individual quality and a higher FIFA ranking, Cyprus’s home advantage and their proven ability to score against Bosnia, coupled with the absence of a key Bosnian midfielder in Hajradinović, level the playing field. Cyprus has performed better at home in the qualifiers, scoring in all two of their home WCQ matches.

Historically, matches between these two sides have been high-scoring affairs, with both teams finding the net in 80% of their meetings and four out of five games seeing over 2.5 goals. Bosnia has scored in all five of their World Cup Qualifiers in 2025, while Cyprus has scored in both of their home WC Qualifiers this year.

Considering all factors, we anticipate a tight game where both teams will likely score. Bosnia’s attacking firepower should ultimately be enough to secure a narrow victory, but Cyprus will make them work hard for it.

Predicted Scoreline: Cyprus 1-2 Bosnia-Herzegovina

Justification: Bosnia’s slight edge in quality and their consistent scoring record in the qualifiers should see them through. However, Cyprus’s resilience at home and their ability to find the net against the Dragons, combined with a key Bosnian injury, suggest they will not be shut out. The betting odds currently favor Bosnia-Herzegovina with odds of 1.90 for a win, a draw at 3.72, and a Cyprus win at 4.54, further reflecting Bosnia’s slight advantage.

Expect goals from both sides. Ermedin Demirović for Bosnia-Herzegovina and Pieros Sotiriou for Cyprus are strong candidates to get on the scoresheet. Given the history, an “Over 2.5 Goals” bet also seems plausible.

OUR CHOICE

Cyprus vs Bosnia-Herzegovina Over 1.5 at 1.35

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