Welsh Cymru North-South
10.10.25 18:30
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Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips | 10/10/2025

Cymru Championship South Showdown: Newport City Host Trethomas Bluebirds in a Battle for Momentum

As the crisp autumn air descends upon Wales, football enthusiasts turn their attention to a compelling Cymru Championship South clash. On Thursday, October 10, 2025, at 18:30 UTC, Newport City FC will welcome fierce rivals Trethomas Bluebirds. This encounter isn’t just about three points; it’s a test of current form, historical dominance, and a pivotal moment for both clubs aiming to solidify their positions in the league standings. Will Newport City finally break their duck against the Bluebirds, or will Trethomas extend their perfect head-to-head record and continue their push up the table? The stage is set for a captivating evening of Welsh football.

Head-to-Head: A Bluebirds’ Stronghold

Historically, matches between Newport City and Trethomas Bluebirds have been few but decisive, with the Bluebirds holding a clear advantage. In their two previous competitive meetings, Trethomas Bluebirds have emerged victorious on both occasions, leaving Newport City still searching for their first win in this fixture.

  • Total Matches Played: 2
  • Newport City Wins: 0
  • Draws: 0
  • Trethomas Bluebirds Wins: 2
  • Goal Difference: Newport City 2 – 4 Trethomas Bluebirds

The recent results underscore Trethomas’s dominance:

  • 03.01.2025: Newport City 1-2 Trethomas Bluebirds
  • 01.11.2024: Trethomas Bluebirds 2-1 Newport City

Both previous encounters were high-scoring thrillers, with each match seeing over 2.5 goals and a 2-1 scoreline in favour of Trethomas Bluebirds.

Current Form & Team News

Both teams enter this fixture with distinct recent trajectories, making this clash all the more intriguing.

Newport City FC

Newport City currently sits 7th in the FAW Championship South table, exhibiting “Very Good” overall form this season with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss from their opening matches. Their home form has been particularly strong, boasting 2 wins and 1 draw from 3 games, remaining undefeated on their own turf. They have scored 13 goals in the current season.

Last 5 Matches (W-D-L Format): L-W-W-D-D

  • 27.09.2025: Carmarthen Town 1-0 Newport City (L)
  • 12.09.2025: Pontypridd Town AFC 1-3 Newport City (W)
  • 05.09.2025: Newport City 2-1 Cambrian & Clydach (W)
  • 25.08.2025: Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 Newport City (D)
  • 22.08.2025: Newport City 1-1 Ynyshir Albions (D)

Team News: Newport City has seen some movement in their squad. Defender Evan Cadwallader joined on July 17, 2025, from Cardiff Metropolitan, and George Kabza arrived from Penydarren on July 8, 2025, bolstering their ranks. However, they will be without Drew Perrett, who transferred to Barry on July 9, 2025. Key players to watch include forwards Kayne McLaggon and Nathaniel Jarvis, who will be crucial for breaking down the Bluebirds’ defence.

Trethomas Bluebirds

Trethomas Bluebirds sit just below Newport City in 9th position, with “Average” overall form, recording 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses this season. Their away form has been a concern, registering 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss on the road. They have scored 14 goals so far this season.

Last 5 Matches (W-D-L Format): D-D-W-L-D

  • 03.10.2025: Trethomas Bluebirds 1-1 Ammanford (D)
  • 26.09.2025: Cwmbran Celtic 2-2 Trethomas Bluebirds (D)
  • 13.09.2025: Trethomas Bluebirds 4-1 Ynyshir Albions (W)
  • 06.09.2025: Llantwit Major 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds (L)
  • 25.08.2025: Trethomas Bluebirds 1-1 Treowen Stars (D)

Team News: Trethomas Bluebirds will be without Joshua Williams, who departed the club on July 9, 2025. However, their squad still boasts attacking talent like Haben Samson and Jay Thomas, alongside midfielders Jack Shaw and Ben Keen. Their defensive unit, featuring Jada Mawongo and Dylan Dinham, will need to be resolute to contain Newport City’s attack, especially given their patchy away form.

Tactical Preview

This match presents an interesting tactical dilemma. Newport City, with their strong home form and generally “Very Good” overall performance, will likely aim to dictate play and press high. They average 1.86 goals per match in the current season, suggesting a capable attack. New arrivals Evan Cadwallader and George Kabza could slot into defensive or midfield roles, offering fresh impetus and stability. Given their recent draws, they might look to convert possession into more decisive attacks.

Trethomas Bluebirds, despite their “Average” overall form, have shown they can score, averaging 1.63 goals per match this season. However, their “Poor” away form suggests a more cautious approach might be warranted. They tend to be involved in lower-scoring games generally, with 8 out of their last 10 matches having less than 3 goals, a trend also seen in Newport City’s recent fixtures. This contrasts with their previous head-to-head results which were 2-1 thrillers. The midfield battle, potentially featuring Newport’s James Bloom and Trethomas’s Jack Shaw, will be crucial in controlling the tempo and supply lines to their respective forward lines.

The weather in Wales in October can be unpredictable, and a wet pitch could favour a more direct style of play, potentially negating some of the technical advantages. Travel fatigue is unlikely to be a significant factor given the localized nature of the league.

Editorial Prediction

This fixture promises to be a tight contest, with Newport City desperate to overturn their head-to-head record against Trethomas Bluebirds. While Trethomas has had the upper hand historically, Newport City’s superior current form, especially at home, makes them slight favourites. However, Trethomas’s ability to grind out results, as evidenced by their draws, should not be underestimated.

Considering the tendency for both teams to be involved in matches with fewer than three goals recently, despite their previous head-to-head history, we anticipate a hard-fought encounter. The betting odds currently place Newport City as the favourite, around 1.60 for a win.

Expected Scoreline: Newport City 1 – 1 Trethomas Bluebirds

While Newport City will push for a win, Trethomas Bluebirds’ resilience and historical dominance in this fixture suggest they can secure a point on the road. Expect a closely fought match, possibly with goals from a set-piece or a moment of individual brilliance. A draw seems a plausible outcome, and a scoreline of 1-1 or 2-1 to Newport City are strong possibilities. We could also anticipate at least one yellow card due to the intensity of the rivalry.

OUR CHOICE

Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds Over 1.5 at 1.25

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