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Osasuna vs Getafe Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips | 03/10/2025

The stage is set at Estadio El Sadar in Pamplona as Osasuna prepares to lock horns with Getafe in a pivotal La Liga clash on Friday, October 3, 2025, at 19:00 UTC. This encounter, marking matchweek eight of the season, pits two sides with contrasting starts to their campaigns against each other. Osasuna, traditionally a resilient home team, will be desperate to climb out of the lower mid-table, currently sitting 13th with a modest seven points from seven matches. Their entire points tally this season has come at home, making El Sadar a fortress they are keen to defend fiercely.

Meanwhile, Getafe arrives in Pamplona occupying a more comfortable 7th or 8th position with 11 points. Despite a strong start to the season, including impressive back-to-back away wins, their recent form has plateaued, and they find themselves on a three-game winless streak in the league (D2 L1). Can Osasuna leverage their home advantage to halt Getafe’s impressive away record, which currently stands as the fourth-best in La Liga? Or will Getafe continue their historically strong run against Los Rojillos and deepen their opponents’ woes?

Head-to-Head History

Encounters between Osasuna and Getafe have often been tightly contested affairs, with Getafe generally holding the upper hand in their historical matchups. Across approximately 44 total meetings, Getafe boasts 17 victories, while Osasuna has secured 12 wins, with 15 matches ending in stalemates.

Recent Results (Last 5 La Liga Meetings):

  • 16 March 2025: Osasuna 1-2 Getafe
  • 05 October 2024: Getafe 1-1 Osasuna
  • 21 January 2024: Osasuna 3-2 Getafe
  • 17 September 2023: Getafe 3-2 Osasuna
  • 28 May 2023: Getafe 2-1 Osasuna

Getafe has enjoyed a dominant record against Osasuna recently, with six wins and only one defeat in their last twelve encounters, including a 2-1 victory at Estadio El Sadar in their most recent meeting in March 2025. Osasuna, on the other hand, has managed only one win in their last eight matches against Getafe across all competitions. A notable trend in recent clashes is the prevalence of goals, with the last five meetings seeing both sides find the net, often resulting in high-scoring encounters with more than 2.5 goals.

Current Form & Team News

Osasuna

Osasuna’s bid for a European spot this season has gotten off to a shaky start, as they currently sit 13th in the league table with seven points from seven matches. Their recent form in the last five league outings is D-L-W-L-W, indicating inconsistency. All seven of their points this season have come at their home ground, Estadio El Sadar, where they remain unbeaten with two wins and one draw. However, their offensive output has been a concern, managing only five goals in seven league fixtures, suggesting a lack of firepower.

In terms of team news, Osasuna faces some doubts, with Juan Cruz missing last week’s fixture due to illness and remaining questionable for this match. Ruben Garcia’s availability is also unclear due to personal issues. Striker Ante Budimir is their leading scorer with two goals so far this season.

Getafe

Getafe started the 2025-26 La Liga campaign impressively, securing back-to-back away wins against Celta de Vigo and Sevilla. However, that momentum has since waned, with the Azulones taking just five points from their subsequent five league fixtures. Their recent form is D-D-L-W-L, and they enter this match on a three-game winless run (D2 L1). Despite this, Getafe boasts the fourth-best away record in La Liga, having collected six points from four matches on the road.

A significant blow for Getafe is the absence of their leading scorer, Adrian Liso, who has three goals to his name but will be sidelined due to international duty with Spain’s U20 team at the U20 World Cup. In his absence, the attacking threat will likely fall to the ever-reliable Borja Mayoral and Luis Milla, whose four assists in seven games highlight his crucial role in distribution. Defensively, Getafe has conceded at least one goal in five of their last six La Liga matches.

Tactical Preview

This match is likely to be a clash of styles. Osasuna under Jagoba Arrasate is known for their high-energy approach and resilience, particularly at home. They will undoubtedly look to leverage the fervent atmosphere of El Sadar and their unbeaten home record. Their game plan will likely involve a direct approach, aiming to put Getafe’s defense under pressure and create opportunities for Ante Budimir. Osasuna’s home consistency in scoring this season suggests they will find the net.

Getafe, often characterized by a robust and defensively organized style, will aim to frustrate Osasuna. Despite their recent dip in form, their strong away record indicates a capability to perform on the road. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Getafe’s Milla orchestrating play and seeking to exploit any defensive vulnerabilities in Osasuna, who have conceded in four of their last five matches. The absence of Adrian Liso will challenge Getafe’s attacking potency, placing more responsibility on Borja Mayoral.

Given the early October timing in Pamplona, the weather is expected to be cool. While specific conditions are not known, cooler temperatures and potentially a damp pitch could favor a more physical encounter, playing into Getafe’s traditional strengths.

Editorial Prediction

This match promises to be a tight affair, with both teams eager to secure points for different reasons. Osasuna’s strong home form clashes with Getafe’s solid away performances and superior head-to-head record. Both sides have shown defensive frailties in recent weeks, coupled with a propensity for scoring against each other in past meetings.

Considering Osasuna’s struggle for consistent victories and Getafe’s current winless run, a draw seems like a highly plausible outcome that both teams might be willing to accept. The trend of goals in their recent head-to-head encounters also suggests that both teams will likely find the back of the net.

Expected Scoreline: Osasuna 1-1 Getafe

Betting markets reflect this uncertainty, with a draw having a similar probability to an Osasuna win (around 37% for both, according to some odds aggregators). Osasuna are priced at approximately 2.20 for a win, a draw at 2.80-2.97, and a Getafe win at 3.80-4.02.

We anticipate at least two goals in this match, with an ‘Over 1.5 Goals’ bet appearing favourable, given this has landed in every Getafe match this term and in the last seven H2H meetings. Expect goals from both sides, with Ante Budimir a likely candidate for Osasuna and Borja Mayoral for Getafe.

OUR CHOICE

Osasuna vs Getafe Over 1.5 at 1.70

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